Possible scenario
Courts Push Back
18% Chance
Israeli civil-rights groups, film guilds, and opposition lawmakers challenge the probe as political retaliation. Courts have often acted as a constraint on executive overreach, though wartime national-security claims could limit how far judges intervene.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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