Possible scenario
Litigation Gains Traction
20% Chance
Affected parents and advocacy groups pursue FOIA cases, civil-rights claims, or Privacy Act litigation against DOJ and FBI. The legal path is slower than congressional oversight but could keep the issue active if discovery reveals internal communications about the threat-tag process.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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