Possible scenario
Race Tightens Late
25% Chance
The $1.2 million Senate Majority PAC buy helps move the race from symbolic to genuinely competitive. National Democrats and Republicans both increase attention, especially if control of the Senate appears close elsewhere.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.