Possible scenario
Grassley Retires
35% Chance
Grassley decides not to seek a ninth term and frames the rejection of filing reports as a way to preserve flexibility. His retirement would create a rare open Iowa Senate race in 2028 after Joni Ernst's earlier decision not to seek another term.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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