Possible scenario
Decision Stays Delayed
18% Chance
Grassley continues to postpone a final announcement, neither confirming reelection plans nor retiring. This preserves his leverage but complicates planning for Iowa Republicans and national Senate strategists.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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