Possible scenario
Prosecutors Link Pepijn
35% Chance
Dutch authorities and possibly U.S. investigators produce chat logs, infrastructure records, or cryptocurrency tracing that contradict ShinyHunters' denial. The group continues to distance itself, but prosecutors frame Pepijn van der Stap as an affiliate or operational partner rather than a random unrelated hacker.
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications -0.1%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- SNOW-1.0%
- T-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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