Possible scenario
Denial Holds Up
30% Chance
Further reporting or court filings indicate that Pepijn is accused of separate intrusions or lower-level activity, not membership in ShinyHunters. The denial proves directionally accurate, though authorities may still pursue unrelated cybercrime charges.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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