Possible scenario
State Case Dominates
25% Chance
California authorities may continue to control the criminal case while federal lawmakers keep issuing oversight demands. This outcome is plausible because child abuse, custody, and endangerment charges are typically handled first by local prosecutors and state child welfare agencies.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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