Possible scenario
Compute Bottleneck Emerges
20%
−0.5%
The delay reflects the practical difficulty of assembling enough accelerators, networking, power, and data-center capacity for a frontier-scale training run. Anthropic’s $600 billion compute plan remains credible, but near-term deployment timing becomes less certain.
What it moves
- Technology−0.9%
- Utilities+0.2%
- Industrials+0.1%
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