Confidence Strain Spreads
−0.2%
Depositor concerns spread beyond Ueno to smaller Paraguayan lenders, forcing the central bank to use liquidity tools more visibly. This is less likely but remains plausible because bank failures can trigger precautionary withdrawals even when fundamentals are contained.
What it moves
- Finance−0.8%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.