Incumbents Absorb Memory
+0.1%
The largest model providers already have strong incentives to control agent memory because it improves retention, personalization, and switching costs. Graphon may still succeed, but it risks becoming middleware in an ecosystem where incumbents own the customer relationship.
What it moves
- Technology+0.3%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.