Possible scenario
Pragmatic AI Accord
40% Chance
The White House uses the expanded meeting to de-escalate tensions with major AI developers while preserving Trump's oversight order. Zuckerberg and Amodei agree to a voluntary safety-testing and reporting framework that lets the administration claim toughness without disrupting AI investment.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.4%
- Business Services +0.2%
- Utilities +0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- META+2.2%
- NVDA+1.2%
- +0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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