Possible scenario
Turner Narrowly Holds
38% Chance
Rep. Mike Turner remains favored because Ohio’s 10th District still leans Republican and GOP outside groups can quickly reinforce him. The DCCC ad buy makes the race more expensive and closer, but Turner’s name recognition and Republican baseline are enough to prevent a flip.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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