Possible scenario
Diplomacy Breaks Down
−0.9%
A smaller but important risk is that the coordination effort collapses before the summit or immediately after it. Battlefield escalation, sanctions threats, or incompatible demands could make attendance politically impossible for Kyiv or Moscow.
What it moves
- Energy+1.6%
- Consumer Cyclicals−0.7%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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