Opposition Narrowly Wins

40%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

High turnout and Likud’s failed request to extend polling hours point to a plausible anti-Netanyahu mobilization. A centrist-led bloc headed by Benny Gantz, with support from Yair Lapid and Avigdor Liberman, narrowly gains the clearest route to a governing majority.

What it moves

Technology+0.3%
Finance+0.2%
Market volatility▼ down
Oil prices▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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