Netanyahu Retains Power

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Despite the Election Board denying extra voting hours, Likud and its right-wing and ultra-Orthodox partners still assemble a narrow Knesset majority. This outcome preserves policy continuity but leaves Israel with a highly polarized government.

What it moves

Industrials+0.3%
Technology−0.2%
Market volatility▲ up
Oil prices▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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