Possible scenario
Rainfall Persists
25% Chance
Additional rainfall keeps rivers elevated and forces authorities to prolong evacuation orders in low-lying areas of greater Santiago. Damage to roads, drainage, and housing raises near-term fiscal and insurance costs, but the shock remains domestic.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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