The current unrest was sparked by the eviction of an 87-year-old woman from her lifelong residence after her rent rose from €500 to €1,650. Prediction markets on Polymarket have shifted the probability of a snap election by the end of the year to 60%, with potential dates listed as November 29 or December 6. Sánchez's minority government is under simultaneous pressure from a migration crisis in Ceuta and judicial investigations into his family and former senior party officials.
