Possible scenario
Courts Split Outcome
22% Chance
Litigation over prediction markets becomes fragmented, with some claims surviving and others narrowed. The legal uncertainty keeps zombie markets in focus but avoids an immediate shutdown of the broader event-contract industry.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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