Possible scenario
Restitution Case Expands
45% Chance
The most likely path is that prosecutors use the 78-month sentences to accelerate restitution, forfeiture, and victim-claims proceedings. The Department of Justice and FBI are likely to emphasize asset recovery rather than create a broader market event.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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