Possible scenario
Courts Set Limits
18% Chance
Civil-rights groups, affected voters, or state officials challenge the expanded use of immigration databases for election enforcement. Courts allow some citizenship verification while restricting bulk data-sharing, timing, or voter-removal procedures.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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