Possible scenario
Wiles Stabilizes Position
35% Chance
Susie Wiles survives the immediate fallout by arguing that arranging a Fox interview was routine crisis management, not an attempt to undermine Katie Zacharia. Trump keeps Wiles in place because removing both the chief of staff and press secretary in the same week would deepen the appearance of disorder.
Tickers
- FOX+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.