Possible scenario
Democratic Congress Emerges
−0.2%
The House landslide proves broad enough to carry several Senate races, giving Democrats narrow control of both chambers. Trump still holds the veto, but Democrats gain agenda-setting power, subpoena authority, and leverage over spending, taxes, health care, and energy policy.
What it moves
- Finance−0.6%
- Industrials−0.6%
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.