Possible scenario
Manipulation Case Emerges
18% Chance
The request for prediction-market data leads to a concrete integrity review involving abnormal prices or volumes around player-specific markets. This scenario would revive concerns from the Jontay Porter ban and the Terry Rozier investigation, but it would likely remain a sports-sector issue rather than a broad-market shock.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Business Services +0.2%
Tickers
- DKNG-1.4%
- SRAD+1.3%
- PENN-1.2%
- FLUT-1.1%
- +0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.