Institutional Standoff

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Likud refuses to recognize the results for several days or weeks and uses rallies, parliamentary tactics and litigation to contest the outcome. State institutions continue operating, but the political environment becomes more volatile and coalition formation slows.

What it moves

Finance−0.3%
Technology−0.2%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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