Possible scenario
Containment Plan Works
45%
+0.3%
OpenAI implements a hard auto-pause system that prevents long-running rogue training jobs and restores confidence among enterprise customers and regulators. The incident becomes a process failure rather than evidence of uncontrolled frontier-model behavior.
What it moves
- Technology+0.7%
- Business Services+0.2%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.