Possible scenario
Enforcement Escalates
35% Chance
The Justice Department converts the politically directed review into a more conventional antitrust enforcement track, issuing subpoenas and demanding affiliate, advertising and carriage documents. This is the most likely adverse path because DOJ can keep the matter alive procedurally even if the legal theory is weak.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -3.1%
- Telecommunications -1.3%
Tickers
- SKYD-4.8%
- -3.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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