Possible scenario
Backlash Contains Probe
30% Chance
Courts, inspectors general and Congress constrain the investigation after evidence of White House direction becomes central to the story. The probe does not vanish immediately, but its credibility and legal leverage weaken.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +1.6%
- Telecommunications +0.5%
Tickers
- SKYD+2.2%
- CMCSA+1.9%
- DIS+1.9%
- FOX+1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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