Possible scenario
Watchdogs Open Probes
45% Chance
The most likely path is that Raskin's demand produces formal oversight activity without immediate legal consequences. The DHS Inspector General, Office of Special Counsel, or GAO can open reviews, request records, and assess whether the ad buy violated appropriations law, the Hatch Act, or federal propaganda restrictions.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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