Possible scenario
Congressional Standoff Deepens
30% Chance
The dispute remains primarily a congressional oversight fight. Democrats seek documents and testimony, while DHS and the Trump administration defend the campaign as public messaging and delay or narrow responses.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.