Possible scenario
Congressional Compromise Emerges
20% Chance
The legal gap becomes a bargaining point rather than a veto. Congress and the administration agree on statutory language that authorizes limited oil transactions while tightening oversight of revenue flows to PdVSA and the Maduro government.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
Tickers
- CVX+1.2%
- SLB-0.2%
- -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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