Broader Democratic Breakthrough

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Hinojosa’s win is part of a larger Democratic advance across Texas statewide offices or legislative districts. Investors price a somewhat greater chance of shifts in health care, voting law, education funding, and energy regulation.

What it moves

Energy−1.5%
Healthcare+1.0%
Utilities−0.8%
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Broader Democratic Breakthrough

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