Possible scenario
Compliance Deal
30% Chance
Michael's comments function mainly as negotiating pressure. Major labs accept narrower Pentagon requirements around security reviews, foreign-user screening, and defense-use carveouts, avoiding formal export restrictions.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.2%
- Business Services +0.5%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- AMZN+0.7%
- PLTR-0.5%
- MSFT+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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