Possible scenario
Hochul Rebuilds Lead
15% Chance
Hochul stabilizes the race by consolidating Democrats, emphasizing abortion rights and federal Republican ties, and improving her standing with suburban women. Blakeman remains competitive, but the race shifts back toward a more typical Democratic advantage in New York.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Utilities -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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