Possible scenario
State Election Pushback
18% Chance
State election administrators and attorneys general object that local political betting could distort voter perceptions, encourage harassment, or conflict with state gambling rules. Because My Ballot localizes markets by voter address, state officials have a clearer hook than they did for national contracts.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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