Possible scenario
Negotiations Slow
25% Chance
The two governments keep negotiating but fail to settle liability, data-handling and personnel-vetting terms. Cooperation continues under temporary arrangements, avoiding a rupture but delaying any durable operating model.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- ACN+0.3%
- META-0.2%
- MSFT-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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