Possible scenario
Access Deal Reached
45% Chance
Washington and London finalize a reciprocal arrangement giving AI Safety Institute personnel employee-like credentials inside secure model evaluation environments. The deal builds on restored UK model access and the September UK-US AI defense partnership, making continued cooperation the base case.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.6%
- Business Services +0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT+0.7%
- PLTR+0.6%
- META+0.4%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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