Possible scenario
Strike Escalates Nationwide
30% Chance
Talks fail and unions broaden the action beyond the initial walkout, disrupting transport, logistics, public administration and healthcare. The market impact remains moderate globally, but Irish-exposed equities and travel names face immediate selling pressure.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.7%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
- Healthcare -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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