Possible scenario
Republican Countermobilization
−0.3%
Republican attorneys general, governors, and national party committees focus on blocking the most consequential blue-state actions through courts, ballot measures, and federal funding fights. This path keeps policy uncertainty elevated even if Democrats formally control more state governments.
What it moves
- Healthcare−0.2%
- Utilities−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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