Possible scenario
Democratic Momentum Builds
35% Chance
Harris uses Supreme Court expansion and Electoral College reform as turnout issues for Democratic voters angered by the post-Roe Court and presidential-immunity rulings. The proposals remain institutionally difficult, but they sharpen the midterm contrast and help Democrats frame the election around democracy and judicial power.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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