Possible scenario
Deep Strikes Expand
25% Chance
The Khanskaya attack confirms that Ukraine's long-range drone program can repeatedly reach Russian aviation infrastructure. Kyiv continues prioritizing air-base strikes to reduce Russian glide-bomb and bomber pressure before winter.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.7%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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