Performance Limits Surface
−0.1%
The market focuses less on lower cost and more on whether SWE-2 Flash can handle complex real-world engineering tasks. Cognition’s own FrontierCode benchmark, where models scored below 50%, gives skeptics a reason to argue that cost cuts do not yet solve reliability.
What it moves
- Technology−0.3%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.