Possible scenario
Managed Postponement
45% Chance
Saudi authorities and the FII Institute contain the fallout by treating the postponement as a security and logistics decision rather than a broader retreat by foreign investors. PIF, the Ministry of Investment, and major advisers keep deal discussions alive through virtual sessions and smaller roadshows.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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