Possible scenario
AI Capex Broadens
45% Chance
The IMF's 7.0% India growth call reinforces investor confidence that AI data-center and cloud investment is becoming a durable growth driver. Google, Meta, Reliance, Adani and CoreWeave expand commitments, while Indian IT services firms see stronger enterprise AI demand.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.0%
- Telecommunications +0.4%
- Utilities +0.3%
- Business Services +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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