Possible scenario
Talks Stall
28%
−0.5%
The Hubbard release proves to be a confidence-building gesture rather than a path to settlement. Moscow and Washington keep a channel open, but Russian territorial demands and Ukrainian red lines prevent a near-term deal.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.5%
- Finance−0.3%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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