Possible scenario
Jackson Weathers Gaffe
44% Chance
Troy Jackson’s 'shut up' line becomes a negative news cycle but does not fundamentally reset the Maine Senate race. His existing 57–43 lead, anti-incumbent mood, and Democratic consolidation keep him ahead, though the margin likely narrows.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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