Possible scenario
Understaffing becomes normal
30% Chance
The staffing crisis may harden into a new operating baseline if firings, retirements and recruiting problems continue. In that case, the bureau triages China, Russia and Iran cases more aggressively and leans on CISA, NSA and allied services for coverage.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
- Telecommunications -0.1%
- Utilities -0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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