Possible scenario
Courts Limit Maps
30% Chance
Federal courts continue to apply the Voting Rights Act and state constitutional limits in ways that blunt the Republican map push. This scenario would strengthen Democratic hopes of offsetting GOP advantages in Texas and Florida.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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