Possible scenario
Liquidity Frictions Surface
18% Chance
Tokenized equities face practical market-structure problems: thin overnight liquidity, oracle timing gaps, redemption delays, or mismatches between token trading and underlying exchange hours. These issues are more likely to create localized DeFi market friction than a broader financial shock.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
- Technology -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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