Possible scenario
Clean Startup Ban
44% Chance
The government implements the startup-focused ban with limited amendments, framing it as a pro-growth labour mobility reform. The most likely outcome is a targeted law that improves hiring conditions for UK startups without materially disrupting broader employment contracts.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.5%
- Business Services +0.3%
- Finance +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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